Rainfall over Nepal July 31- Aug 7:For the last three posts, we have been observing progressively receding of rainfalls, especially over Nepal. The recent predictions by CPC NOAA for the period July 31 - August 7, 2007, for South Asia, clearly indicates that the rains that were hovering over the southern half of mid and far-western development region of Nepal, is all limited to drizzles of total 50 to 75mm for a week. So is the case with east and central terai districts where many houses were washed last week.
Image 1: Nepal and South Asia Rainfall
About 75 persons perished and more than 80,000 persons got displaced last week all over the country according to Nepali media reports. Children, men, and women of all ages suffered from water borne disease. Many people are living in schools, open spaces and their relatives' houses. Given such a situation last week, this weeks rainfall predictions are a great relief, this is an window for relief and rehabilitation of the affected people.
There are still pockets of area in East Nepal - around Makalu-Barun National Park in Sankhuwasabha and Solukhumbu districts, as well as Jhapa, Illam, Tehrathum and Panchthar, where good amount of rainfall is going to take place.
South Asia Rainfall Pattern:
As per the interpretation of the CPC NOAA images, Bangladesh is also finding an window of opportunity for recovery from the flooded streets and settlements.
There is very heavy rain falling on the western ghat (hills) of India. The rains in India also have thinned down considerably. The north-eastern indian states of Assam, Meghalaya, and West Bengal have receding rainfall in comparison to yesterday's image.
Image 2: Asia Continent Rainfall Pattern
Most of the monsoon rains are concentrating in the Arabian Sea of west India and the Bay of Bengal. These thick downpour areas are extending east towards Myanmar, Malaysia, Indonesia and all the way to the Pacific ocean.
Thanks to CPC NOAA for their images.
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